13 January 2007

NFL Predictions

INDIANAPOLIS (13-4) at BALTIMORE (13-3)
Those of you who have read my prognostications the last few years may think you know where I’m going with this one… because I’ve been on the Colts-are-due-to-make-it-to-the-Super Bowl kick for a few years now. But even more of a base philosophy for me is the idea that a good defense will beat a good offense much more often than not, especially in the playoffs. New England has made a postseason habit of besting the Colts with the formula of a superior defense to go with homefield advantage, and I believe the Ravens will do likewise. And I also like time-tested veteran McNair in big games.


Prediction: RAVENS, 28-17


PHILADELPHIA (11-6) at NEW ORLEANS (10-6)
My M.O., as it pertains to forecasting playoff games, is to find which underdog in each round I like the most and jump aboard. For this season’s divisional round, that’s definitely the Eagles. However, there’s one key injury that concerns me from Philly’s point of view – cornerback Lito Sheppard’s status is in doubt, and when you consider that the Saints might also reap the return of veteran wideout Joe Horn, the Saints’ advantage in the passing game may be pronounced. Ultimately, the game is likely to come down to which club makes the fewest mistakes (most games do), and in that event the comparatively inexperienced Saints, even at home, are the most likely to flinch.


Prediction: EAGLES, 23-16


SEATTLE (10-7) at CHICAGO (14-2)
The Bears completely dominated the first meeting between the two (albeit Seattle was without Alexander), and are rested and ready for the sequel. I’m still not convinced Chicago can hold serve and reach the Super Bowl with Grossman at the controls, but their defense and special teams alone are more than enough to dethrone the NFC champs.

Prediction: BEARS, 24-10

NEW ENGLAND (13-4) at SAN DIEGO (14-2)
Easily the toughest pick of this week’s four games in my opinion. The Chargers are unbeaten at home, but New England is a robust 7-1 on the road. The Patriots’ extensive playoff experience is at least an equalizer. And if this game evolves into a battle of QBs, it’s not a leap to favor Brady over Rivers. Okay, enough beating around the bush. There are plenty of compelling reasons to go with the Patriots, but I like San Diego because the Chargers have earned the top seeding with consistently outstanding play. Their two losses were close road affairs. They’ve beaten some quality clubs, and thoroughly whipped some on their home field as well. Anticipate a highly entertaining contest.


Prediction: CHARGERS, 27-20

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